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</html>";s:4:"text";s:10230:"<br>Most fears about Japanese and/or German revanchism turn less on perceived political strategies by today's leaderships in Tokyo or Bonn than on the dynamics of ungovernable change. This makes a return to old policies nearly impossible. <br> <br>The proliferation of weapons of mass destruction and of missile technology in the Third World add to such concerns. <br> <br>Considerable evidence supports an alternative conclusion: that the forces of global interdependence will produce changes and mutual adjustments of the economic imbalances between Japan and the outside world. <br> <br>Thus, interdependence will imply intense conflicts over the distribution of its costs and benefits-and continue heavily to involve national governments. The redistribution and growing diffusion of economic weight is a fact (although it is often not appreciated that the U.S. share of gross world product actually grew in the 1980s). Transfer of sovereignty allows the development of the rule of law in international relations and thus helps to push forward the process of "civilizing" international politics. <br> <br>It is hardly surprising that the demise of the East-West conflict should direct our eyes (invited and guided along by Paul Kennedy's The Rise and Fall of the Great Powers) toward the traditional play of geopolitics-balance-of-power calculations, the struggle of nation-states for power and a relentless security dilemma. There is also the strong aversion of Japanese society to militarism. Such moves would also immediately trigger powerful reactions and no doubt involve very serious economic and foreign policy costs. <br> <br>Japan, by comparison, has benefited less from the reappraisal that, on the whole, accepts the entrance of Germany into the mainstream of Western democracies. Germany is also suffering from all this “welcoming” and it’s losing more and more elements of its culture. It will be a democratic and federal state, economically integrated, solidly anchored in the European Community and preoccupied with internal and regional problems of reconstruction and development, to which traditional military power has no relevance whatsoever. VideoFrom End Sars to End Swat, Nigeria protests explained, Project Iceman: Antarctica's first triathlon, Portugal's radical decision to decriminalise all drugs. The results of the settlement have been challenged by both Germany and Japan, which have been unwilling to accept fully the postwar territorial status quo-let alone, in the case of Germany, the division of the nation. Japan's political parties used the issue of the Northern Territories to bolster electoral support and to underpin their anti-Soviet orientation; West German conservatives saw reunification as a way to mobilize nationalist voters and those who had fled the East, and to strengthen sentiments of anticommunism and orientation toward the West. And as for Japan, we are told by a "revisionist" that nobody really is in charge there.1 The forces of change in the postwar era, which have worked so powerfully in favor of the West and against the East, are now seen as threatening American control over events. Germany has one of the highest migration rates in the world, but has also seen growing support for anti-immigration party Alternative fur Deutschland (AfD). The political debate in the United States simply seems to be catching up with the realities of interdependence, which Germany and Japan have been used to for a long time. Rather, the United States will have to evolve into a new type of international power, of which Germany and Japan are already in a sense prototypes: it must become a civilian power. Those fears are based on the assumption that Germany and Japan direct their economic activities toward a noneconomic goal-the pursuit of national power. <br> <br>Germany's new identity will thus have to be supranational and European. Germany has dropped below Japan to have not just the lowest birth rate across Europe but also globally, according to the report by Germany-based analysts. <br> <br>.css-1hlxxic-PromoLink:link{color:inherit;}.css-1hlxxic-PromoLink:visited{color:#696969;}.css-1hlxxic-PromoLink:link,.css-1hlxxic-PromoLink:visited{-webkit-text-decoration:none;text-decoration:none;}.css-1hlxxic-PromoLink:link:hover,.css-1hlxxic-PromoLink:visited:hover,.css-1hlxxic-PromoLink:link:focus,.css-1hlxxic-PromoLink:visited:focus{color:#B80000;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;}.css-1hlxxic-PromoLink:link::after,.css-1hlxxic-PromoLink:visited::after{content:'';position:absolute;top:0;right:0;bottom:0;left:0;z-index:2;}Concern as Japan's 2014 birth rate falls to record low, Europe birth rates 'have fallen' since economic crisis, Germany struggles to adapt to immigrant influx, Trump and Biden deflect questions in TV grilling. <br> <br>The critical challenges and risks for the future will largely come from economic, social and cultural dislocations and their potential for producing political crises and turmoil. In the case of Japan, the transformation of East-West relations has prompted a vigorous debate about the future of the U.S.-Japan Security Treaty. While the emotional appeal of Europe may have receded recently, it is interesting to note that opinion polls now show a certain revival of interest in and attachment to Europe as a counterweight to the emotional uncertainties stirred up by the prospect of German unification.  <br>This rationale is rapidly fading now, and old specters once more raise their ugly heads; the power of Japan and Germany has again become a cause of concern for their partners in the alliance. Both Germany and Japan thus face the need to develop international identities that explicitly recognize and accept the facts of interdependence. <br> <br>Systemic legitimacy will also suffer if issues such as the protection of the global environment or the gap between rich and poor are not addressed. This was achieved brilliantly by embracing both countries in an American-led alliance system directed against a new adversary, the Soviet Union. This eventually led to the Ostpolitik of the Social Democratic/Liberal coalition from 1969 onward, which explicitly recognized the Oder-Neisse boundary and the existence of a second German state, albeit as part of the German nation. Those concerns may be grouped around the following themes: old-fashioned national expansionism, either military or economic; a shift of international leadership from America to Japan and/or Germany; and maintaining international stability and prosperity, as it were, "under new management.". Its authors warned of the effects of a shrinking working-age population. Opting against interdependence and for autonomy has often produced disastrous results-witness the socialist experience in Eastern Europe and the Soviet Union. Moreover, as Herbert Stein has rightly pointed out, the American concern about losing preeminence confuses leadership with dominance and economic strength with economic monopoly.5 Put differently, these worries look at today's world of international relations-shaped by the dynamics of interdependence-through yesterday's lenses of balance-of-power politics among nation states obsessed with territorial insecurity and expansion. <br> <br>German isn’t similar to English as many say. New jets promise to revive supersonic travel, 'I'm sick of influencers asking for free cake'. <br> <br>6 The seminal work for this paradigm is Robert O. Keohane and Joseph S. Nye, Jr., Power and Interdependence, Boston: Little, Brown, 1977; revised edition 1989. <br> <br>An emphasis on stability, social consensus, cohesion and continuity amid change can be found in both societies. <br> Others worry about the implications of a changing distribution of economic power as a result of Germany's and Japan's single-minded pursuit of economic gain abroad and tendencies toward parochial and closed societies and economies at home. <br> <br>Still, there can be no doubt that the management of the German and Japanese economies reflects values and forms of social organization that differ from (and may be more effective than) those of other industrialized countries. The result was the American strategy of "double containment," in which Germany and Japan were embraced as junior partners in the effort to contain the Soviet Union; at the same time they were firmly anchored in the U.S.-centered alliance system by a web of security, political and economic ties.3 The logic of this strategy was put bluntly, but quite appropriately, by Lord Ismay, in his famous dictum about NATO's purpose in Europe (which could also have described, with a minor adjustment, U.S. policies toward the Japanese): "Keep the Americans in, the Russians out, and the Germans down. This is not to deny the continued relevance of the security dimension for international relations; nuclear deterrence and conventional force still play a role in guaranteeing the state-centered character of the international system, and war and civil war have, if anything, become more, rather than less, frequent and destructive in the Third World. By ensuring that neither Germany nor Japan would be able to resume its past quest for military supremacy, it also removed or at least weakened regional security dilemmas arising out of fears of a revival of military expansionism, and thus enabled both Germany and Japan to integrate themselves better in their respective regions. To think and act in terms of complex interdependence will not be easy. While the scope and intensity of those programs differed importantly between Japan and Germany (with the latter, for understandable reasons, being treated much more thoroughly), they helped indigenous democratic tendencies in both countries sufficiently to clear the path toward establishing sound democracies. Revanchism nonetheless never became a serious problem in the postwar world. <br> <br>The victors' most immediate and pressing concern was to ensure that German and Japanese militaristic expansionism would never again pose a threat to the international status quo. 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